Skip to content

Studienführer

External events

Trade Sanctions and Informal Employment

research seminar

We examine how trade sanctions affect the allocation of workers across formal and informal employment. We analyse the case of unprecedented trade sanctions imposed on Iran in 2012 and use a difference-in-differences approach to compare the probability of  working in the informal sector before and after 2012 for individuals employed in industries with pre-existing different levels of exposure to international trade. Our findings suggest that, in the short run, the informal sector absorbed a significant fraction of workers displaced by the trade shock caused by the sanctions, shedding light on a potentially important dimension of labor reallocation whereby trade sanctions can affect the economy of the target country.